The Morgan Stanley China A Equity Strategy is a concentrated strategy focusing on seeking stocks with high secular growth and tactical positions in cyclical stocks with attractive valuation and/or good fundamentals and dynamics. To achieve its objective, the strategy combines top-down sector allocation with bottom-up stock selection and disciplined risk management.
The team follows a disciplined investment process that integrates both top-down and bottom-up perspectives.
- TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS: We focus on dynamics such as macroeconomic indicators, social and political trends, fiscal and monetary policy and currency movements. This is combined with an in-depth analysis of market sentiment and valuation analysis (based on price/book (P/B) value, price/ earnings (P/E) and price/cash flow (P/CF) ratios as well as intrinsic value models such as discounted cash flow (DCF) and Sum of the Parts). This process provides a framework for thematic/sector analysis.
- BOTTOM-UP STOCK SELECTION: At the stock level, our bottom-up fundamental analysis based on dynamics, valuation and sentiment is integral in understanding the companies in which we invest. We focus on companies with what we consider strong management and good earnings visibility. Interviewing company management gives us important information about their ability to execute, their integrity and the risks inherent in their business models. As a result, the China Equity team conducts approximately 400 company visits/meetings with corporate and government entities as well as sector and industry specialists each year, spending at least a week per month on the ground throughout China.
- We spend, approximately, 30% of our time on top-down macro (including macro-economic analysis and macro portfolio themes) and sector analysis and 70% on bottom-up security selection and analysis.